Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data revisions from Wunderground after resolution deadline
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:30:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
34%
ORYN Consensus
34%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,127,882
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 31-37
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market suggests a 34% probability that the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 29, 2026, will reach 32°C, based on historical temperature trends and seasonal patterns for the region. The low probability reflects the typical variability of tropical weather and the specific threshold being tested.
A bullish scenario could materialize if an unseasonal heatwave or prolonged dry spell elevates temperatures in the region. Strong El Niño conditions or localized urban heat island effects in Kuala Lumpur could push the mercury to the 32°C mark. Historical data shows rare but possible spikes above 31°C in late June.
A bearish outcome is more likely given Kuala Lumpur's equatorial climate, where average highs in late June hover around 31-32°C but rarely exceed it. Persistent cloud cover, rainfall, or monsoon influences could suppress temperatures below the threshold. Seasonal forecasts from MET Malaysia also suggest near-normal conditions.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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