This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Potential delays in temperature data publication
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:31:07 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.1
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market predicts a low probability (2.10%) that Denver's highest temperature on June 28, 2026, will fall within the 102-103°F range. Historical climate data and seasonal trends suggest this outcome is unlikely.
A bullish scenario could unfold if an unexpected heatwave develops in late June 2026, driven by a persistent high-pressure system over the region. Unusually warm atmospheric conditions or delayed monsoon patterns could push temperatures into the target range.
The bear case assumes typical late-June weather patterns for Denver, where average highs are around 85-90°F. A cooler-than-normal pattern, cloud cover, or precipitation could suppress temperatures well below the 102-103°F threshold.
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Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on June 28? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 2.2% while ORYN AI estimates 2%.
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