Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data revisions from Wunderground after market resolution
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:15:15 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
55%
ORYN Consensus
56%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,015,115
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 52-58
—
Resolution
1h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Dallas' highest temperature on June 28, 2026, currently reflects a slight bullish bias with a 54.50% probability of the temperature falling between 96-97°F. The resolution hinges on historical climatological data for late June in Dallas, which historically trends toward high heat.
A bullish outcome (96-97°F) aligns with Dallas' typical late-June climate, where average high temperatures range from 92-97°F. Persistent high-pressure systems or heat dome conditions could push the peak temperature into this range, supported by recent warming trends in Texas.
A bearish outcome (outside 96-97°F) could occur if atypical weather patterns, such as unseasonable rainfall, cloud cover, or a cold front, disrupt the usual heat. Climate variability or data revisions from Wunderground could also shift the temperature outside the predicted range.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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