This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: revisions_to_temperature_data_after_market_close
AI updated 6/27/2026, 3:15:33 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
4%
ORYN Consensus
4%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Dallas reaching 100-101°F on June 27, 2026, has a low probability of 3.95%, indicating skepticism about extreme heat on that specific date. Historical climate data and seasonal trends suggest this outcome is unlikely but not impossible.
A bull case could emerge if a strong high-pressure system or heat dome develops over Texas in late June 2026, leading to prolonged extreme heat. Unusual atmospheric conditions or climate anomalies could push temperatures into the 100-101°F range, aligning with Dallas's typical summer heat patterns.
The bear case argues that late June in Dallas historically averages highs around 92-95°F, with 100°F+ readings being rare before early July. Cooler-than-average conditions, cloud cover, or rainfall could suppress temperatures below the 100°F threshold.
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Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 27? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 3.5% while ORYN AI estimates 4%.
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