This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Key risk: Data revisions to historical temperature records
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:31:56 AM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
6%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market indicates a low probability (6%) that the highest temperature in Chongqing on June 29, 2026, will reach 28°C. Historical climate data suggests this is unlikely, as late June temperatures in Chongqing typically range between 23-27°C.
A bullish outcome could occur if an unexpected heatwave or weather anomaly raises temperatures beyond typical June averages. Unusually high solar radiation or a delayed monsoon could also contribute to higher-than-normal temperatures.
A bearish outcome is more likely, as Chongqing's late June climate is generally mild and humid, with temperatures rarely exceeding 28°C. Persistent cloud cover, rain, or cooler-than-average conditions would suppress peak temperatures.
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Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 29? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 6% while ORYN AI estimates 6%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
