Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: data_revision_after_resolution
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:45:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
4%
ORYN Consensus
4%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,280,634
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 1-7
—
Resolution
10h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market implies a low probability (3.60%) that Busan's highest temperature on June 29, 2026, will reach 26°C, suggesting historical or climatological trends favor cooler conditions for this date. The resolution depends on precise historical data from Gimhae Intl Airport Station, with no adjustments allowed after the first published datapoint.
A bullish scenario could materialize if regional weather patterns shift toward unusual warmth, such as a prolonged high-pressure system or a heatwave influenced by Pacific climate anomalies (e.g., El Niño). Unseasonably early monsoon delays or atmospheric blocking could also elevate temperatures beyond typical June averages.
A bearish outcome is more likely given Busan's maritime climate, which typically moderates temperatures in late June. Persistent cloud cover, onshore winds, or delayed seasonal warming could suppress the high to below 26°C. Historical data for June 29 in Busan (avg. ~24-25°C) further supports this scenario.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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