Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential tactical adjustments by either team (e.g., defensive setups)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:30:37 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
54%
ORYN Consensus
54%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,310,718
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 50-57
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup match (O/U 2.5 goals) currently favors the 'Over' outcome at 53.50%, indicating a slight tilt toward higher-scoring scenarios. The market reflects moderate uncertainty given the competitive nature of both teams in recent performances.
The United States has shown offensive capability in recent matches, with key players like Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie capable of breaking down defenses. Bosnia and Herzegovina, while defensively solid, has struggled with consistency in attack, potentially limiting their goal-scoring output. Historical World Cup data suggests higher-scoring games in Group Stage matches, supporting the 'Over' scenario.
Both teams have demonstrated defensive resilience in recent fixtures, with Bosnia and Herzegovina conceding fewer than 1 goal per game in their last 5 matches. The United States, despite attacking prowess, has also shown vulnerability to counterattacks, which could suppress the total goals. Low-scoring encounters in recent World Cup history (e.g., 2018 average of 2.64 goals per game) slightly favor the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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