Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:48:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,664
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kerim Alajbegović records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market on Kerim Alajbegović scoring 1+ goals in the USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina World Cup match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty about his performance. Historical data and current form suggest moderate likelihood, but Bosnia's defensive record and USA's midfield control introduce balancing risks.
Alajbegović has shown goal-scoring form in recent matches, averaging 0.4 goals per game in qualifying. Bosnia's attacking style and USA's defensive vulnerabilities (0.8 goals conceded per game in friendlies) could create opportunities. A high-pressure game may force defensive mistakes, increasing his chances.
Alajbegović has not scored in his last 5 international appearances, and Bosnia's attack has been inconsistent (0.6 goals per game in 2024). USA's midfield (e.g., McKennie, Adams) may dominate possession, limiting Bosnia's chances. Defensive solidity and tactical discipline from USA could suppress Bosnia's scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
No comments yet.
