In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mikel Oyarzabal records 2+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Unpredictable player form
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:00:31 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mikel Oyarzabal records 2+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
9%
ORYN Consensus
9%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Mikel Oyarzabal has an 8.5% chance to score 2+ goals in the Uruguay vs. Spain World Cup match on June 26. This low probability reflects his historical scoring patterns and the competitive nature of the fixture.
Oyarzabal has shown recent form with multiple goals in La Liga and international matches, including a 2-goal performance earlier in the tournament. Spain’s defensive vulnerabilities against wingers could provide opportunities for Oyarzabal to capitalize.
Uruguay’s defensive structure prioritizes compactness, reducing high-quality chances for forwards. Oyarzabal’s recent injury concerns may limit his playing time or effectiveness, and Spain’s midfield dominance could stifle Uruguay’s attacking transitions.
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Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 8.5% while ORYN AI estimates 8.5%.
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