In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Federico Valverde records more than 1.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Federico Valverde records 1.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Federico Valverde in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Federico Valverde is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Valverde
AI updated 6/26/2026, 9:30:39 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Spain, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Federico Valverde records more than 1.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Federico Valverde records 1.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Federico Valverde in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Federico Valverde is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Federico Valverde recording 2+ assists in the Uruguay vs. Spain FIFA World Cup game on June 26 is currently priced at 3.00%, indicating very low market confidence in this outcome. The low probability reflects Valverde's historical assist record and the competitive nature of the match.
Valverde's recent form (3 assists in his last 5 games) and Spain's defensive vulnerabilities could lead to multiple chances, increasing the likelihood of 2+ assists. If Uruguay dominates possession and Valverde plays a creative role, the market could see a late surge in confidence.
Valverde has only 1 assist in his last 10 international appearances, and Spain's midfield (e.g., Rodri, Pedri) may limit his opportunities. The match's tactical setup could prioritize defensive solidity over attacking play, reducing his assist potential.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Federico Valverde: 2+ assists is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 3% while ORYN AI estimates 3%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.