In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Jackson records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Nicolas Jackson records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Nicolas Jackson in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Nicolas Jackson is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Jackson's limited recent assist record
AI updated 6/26/2026, 4:00:55 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Jackson records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Nicolas Jackson records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Nicolas Jackson in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Nicolas Jackson is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
15%
ORYN Consensus
20%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
3.8
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Nicolas Jackson has a 20% probability of recording 1+ assists in Senegal's FIFA World Cup match against Iraq on June 26. The low probability reflects his limited involvement in Senegal's recent attacking play and Iraq's defensive record.
Jackson could exceed 0.5 assists if Senegal dominates possession and Iraq's defense is stretched, particularly if he plays in a wide attacking role or as a false nine. His pace and dribbling ability could create multiple chances, especially if paired with a creative midfielder like P. Sarr.
Jackson is unlikely to record an assist due to Senegal's reliance on Ismaila Sarr and Sadio Mané for goals, and Iraq's disciplined defensive structure. His recent form shows minimal assist contributions, and he may not start the match if Senegal opts for a more direct approach.
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Nicolas Jackson: 1+ assists is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 15% while ORYN AI estimates 20%.
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