Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Larin's injury status or tactical substitution
Calibrated 100% · raw 1050% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:00:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
24%
ORYN Consensus
35%
Signal Score
+10.5
Opportunity
8.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1050.0¢
Entry: 21-27
—
Resolution
10h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between South Africa and Canada, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cyle Larin records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Cyle Larin records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Cyle Larin in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Cyle Larin is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Cyle Larin's likelihood of recording 3+ shots in South Africa vs. Canada (June 28) is at 34.5%, indicating a moderate chance. The outcome hinges on his role in attack, Canada's tactical approach, and match tempo.
Larin, Canada's leading striker, averages 2.1 shots per game in recent tournaments, with a peak of 3+ shots in 40% of matches. If Canada dominates possession and creates high-volume chances, his shot count could exceed 2.5.
Canada's defensive structure often limits opposition strikers to under 2 shots per game. Larin's recent form shows only 15% of matches with 3+ shots, and South Africa's compact defense may suppress his opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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