Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:15:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
64%
ORYN Consensus
68%
Signal Score
+4.0
Opportunity
2.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 400.0¢
Entry: 61-67
—
Resolution
10h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
6 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between South Africa and Canada, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cyle Larin records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Cyle Larin records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Cyle Larin in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Cyle Larin is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market indicates a 68% probability that Cyle Larin will record more than 0.5 shots in the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between South Africa and Canada. This suggests moderate confidence in Larin's offensive contribution during the game.
Larin has a strong chance of exceeding 0.5 shots due to his role as a forward, Canada's attacking style, and potential defensive vulnerabilities in South Africa. His historical performance in international matches supports a positive outlook.
Larin may underperform if Canada's attack is ineffective, South Africa's defense is disciplined, or Larin is not selected as a starter. Additionally, if the match is low-scoring or tactical, his shot opportunities could be limited.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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