Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential tactical adjustments by either team
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:46:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
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| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,075,184
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Portugal score 1 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Portugal score less than 1 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Portugal's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Portugal to score 0.5 goals or more against Croatia in their FIFA World Cup match is evenly split at 50.00%, reflecting uncertainty in Portugal's offensive output. Historical performance and current form suggest a balanced outlook, with neither a clear bull nor bear case dominating.
Portugal has a strong attacking lineup with players like Cristiano Ronaldo and Bernardo Silva, increasing the likelihood of scoring at least one goal. Recent form shows Portugal scoring in their last three matches, and their head-to-head record against Croatia favors them in scoring scenarios.
Croatia's defensive resilience, particularly under pressure, may limit Portugal's scoring opportunities. Portugal has struggled to score in some recent matches, and Croatia's disciplined defensive structure could suppress their attack. Low-scoring games in this tournament further support the under scenario.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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