Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected injuries during the match
AI updated 7/1/2026, 11:30:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
78%
ORYN Consensus
77%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,603,243
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -100.0¢
Entry: 75-81
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Portugal and Croatia combine to score 1 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 1 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors an Over outcome for the second-half goals in the Portugal vs. Croatia match, with a 77% probability. The high probability reflects expectations of offensive play from both teams, historically known for scoring in high-profile matches.
Portugal, led by Cristiano Ronaldo, and Croatia, with a strong attacking lineup including players like Ivan Perišić, are likely to create multiple goal-scoring opportunities. Croatia's resilience and Portugal's recent form in international tournaments support a higher second-half goal total.
Defensive strategies from either team, fatigue from the tournament schedule, or tactical adjustments could suppress goal-scoring. Weather conditions or referee decisions limiting play could also reduce the likelihood of multiple second-half goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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