Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions affecting key players
AI updated 7/2/2026, 4:15:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 39% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
42%
ORYN Consensus
42%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,678,390
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 38-44
—
Resolution
16h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Croatia score 1 or more goals in the second half (second 45 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If Croatia score less than 1 goals in the second half, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Croatia's second-half score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second 45 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5' in the Portugal vs. Croatia FIFA World Cup game shows a 41.50% probability of Croatia scoring 1 or more goals in the second half. The market favors the 'Under' outcome slightly, with a 58.50% implied probability.
Croatia may outperform defensive expectations due to tactical adjustments or individual brilliance, such as a late-game surge from forwards like Mario Pašalić or Bruno Petković. Historical data shows Croatia often scores in the second half of competitive matches, increasing the likelihood of an 'Over' outcome.
Portugal's strong defensive record, particularly in the second half of matches, significantly reduces Croatia's scoring chances. Croatia's recent form in World Cup games has been goal-shy in the second half, with a tendency to concede late goals rather than score.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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