Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions affecting key players
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:46:37 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,073,861
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Portugal and Croatia combine to score 3 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5' is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty about the combined first-half goal total. The neutral probability reflects balanced expectations due to the competitive nature of both teams and historical match dynamics.
Portugal’s offensive firepower, led by players like Cristiano Ronaldo, and Croatia’s tendency for fluid attacking play could result in 3+ goals in the first half. A high-scoring encounter is plausible given both teams’ recent form and attacking styles.
Both teams have shown defensive resilience in recent matches, with Portugal often controlling possession without converting chances and Croatia excelling in counter-attacks. A low-scoring first half (under 3 goals) is likely if tactical discipline prevails.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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