Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather conditions affecting play style
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:45:58 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
10%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,150,600
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 6-12
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Portugal vs. Croatia match originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Portugal 0-0 Croatia in their FIFA World Cup match on July 2, 2026, is priced at 9.50%, indicating low probability. The market excludes extra time and penalties, focusing solely on the 90-minute plus stoppage time result.
Portugal's defensive solidity and Croatia's potential tactical discipline could lead to a 0-0 draw, especially if the match is tactically cautious or weather conditions favor defensive play. Historical head-to-head records in competitive matches also show a tendency toward low-scoring games between these teams.
Both teams have attacking talent (e.g., Portugal's forwards like Bernardo Silva, Croatia's Modrić and Kramarić), increasing the likelihood of goals. High-stakes knockout matches often see more aggressive play, reducing the chance of a scoreless draw.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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