Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_red_cards
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:48:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,814,311
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 4 or more total corners taken by both teams in the second half. If the total number of second-half corners is fewer than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". This market refers only to corners taken after the second half begins and before the end of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half corners, extra time, and penalty shootouts do not count. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners' is currently at 50.00%, indicating a neutral expectation with no clear bias toward over or under. The outcome depends on second-half corner dynamics, which are influenced by match tempo, team strategies, and referee tendencies.
Portugal and Croatia are historically high-possession teams with attacking lineups, increasing the likelihood of frequent corner kicks in the second half. Portugal's offensive structure under Ronaldo and midfield creativity could drive high corner counts, while Croatia's pressing high up the pitch may force turnovers leading to corners.
Both teams may adopt conservative strategies in a high-stakes World Cup match, reducing second-half pressure and corner frequency. Croatia's defensive solidity under Dalić often limits opposition chances, while Portugal's midfield control could suppress Croatia's counterattacking opportunities, lowering corner totals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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