Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement or cancellation due to external factors (e.g., weather, logistical issues)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 4:00:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 39% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
4%
ORYN Consensus
4%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,678,765
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 1-7
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and France, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Paraguay vs. France match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for an exact 2-2 draw between Paraguay and France in their 2026 FIFA World Cup match has a low probability of 3.90%, indicating skepticism about this outcome. The match is scheduled for July 4, 2026, with resolution based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regulation.
A 2-2 draw is plausible if both teams play aggressively, with Paraguay leveraging home advantage (if applicable) or France fielding a less dominant squad. Mid-table teams like Paraguay often push stronger opponents in high-stakes tournaments, and France may prioritize fitness over full attacking intensity.
France is a top-tier team with superior attacking depth, making a 2-2 draw unlikely unless Paraguay scores early and defends resolutely. Historical data shows France rarely concedes two goals in competitive matches, and Paraguay’s defensive record is inconsistent.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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