Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement/cancellation
AI updated 7/1/2026, 9:47:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,569,773
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and France, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 6 or more total corners taken by both teams in the first half. If the total number of first-half corners is fewer than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". This market refers only to corners taken within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half corners, extra time, and penalty shootouts do not count. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Paraguay vs. France 1st half O/U 5.5 total corners is neutral, with a 50% probability assigned to both 'Over' and 'Under' outcomes. The lack of bias reflects the uncertainty in early-stage World Cup match dynamics.
A bullish outcome ('Over' 5.5 corners) could materialize if both teams adopt high-pressing tactics, leading to frequent attacking transitions and set-pieces. Paraguay’s physical style and France’s wing-heavy playstyle (e.g., Mbappé, Griezmann) may increase corner counts.
A bearish outcome ('Under' 5.5 corners) may occur if either team dominates possession with low-risk buildup play, reducing counterattacks and set-piece opportunities. Tactical fouls or conservative defending could also suppress corner tallies.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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