Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected tactical shifts (e.g., England prioritizing possession over goals)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:30:49 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
97%
ORYN Consensus
97%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 94-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Panama and England, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Panama and England combine to score 1 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 1, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors an Over outcome (combined goals ≥1) in the Panama vs. England World Cup match, with a 96.70% probability. Historical and contextual factors strongly support this consensus.
England's attacking strength (e.g., Kane, Bellingham) and Panama's defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of multiple goals. Recent World Cup matches in this format (e.g., England's high-scoring games) favor the Over. England's historical dominance over Panama (e.g., 6-1 win in 2018) supports a high-goal scenario.
Panama's disciplined defensive tactics (e.g., low xG conceded in 2022 World Cup) and England's potential tactical restraint could suppress goals. Low-scoring draws are common in World Cup group-stage matches, especially between mismatched teams. Fatigue or rotation in England's squad may reduce offensive output.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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