In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Panama and England, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ollie Watkins records more than 3.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ollie Watkins records 3.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Ollie Watkins in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Ollie Watkins in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ollie Watkins is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or fatigue limiting Watkins' playing time
Calibrated 100% · raw 4650% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:15:27 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Panama and England, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ollie Watkins records more than 3.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ollie Watkins records 3.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Ollie Watkins in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Ollie Watkins in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ollie Watkins is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
49%
Signal Score
+46.5
Opportunity
24.2
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Ollie Watkins recording 4+ combined goals and assists in England's match against Panama at the FIFA World Cup has a near-even probability (49%) of occurring. The outcome hinges on Watkins' individual performance within a single game, with historical data suggesting moderate risk due to team dynamics and opponent strength.
Watkins has shown consistent attacking output in recent matches, with a propensity for goal contributions (goals + assists) in high-pressure games. England's attacking depth and Panama's defensive vulnerabilities (ranked 50th in FIFA rankings) could favor Watkins' involvement, especially if England fields a strong lineup.
Watkins' role may be limited if England rotates the squad or adopts a defensive strategy against a strong opponent like Panama. Panama's defensive structure (e.g., low block) could stifle Watkins' creative output, and his tendency to score from open play rather than set pieces may reduce his assist potential.
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Ollie Watkins: 4+ goals + assists is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 2.5% while ORYN AI estimates 49%.
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