Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:49:33 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.2
Opportunity
0.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 20.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Panama and England, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Panama vs. England match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 England?' is highly unlikely, with a 0.80% probability. The match is scheduled for June 27, 2026, and the market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
A 3-3 draw is plausible if both teams exhibit strong offensive play, with England's attacking prowess potentially overpowering Panama's defense, or if Panama capitalizes on counterattacks against England's high press. High-scoring matches in World Cup history (e.g., 2014, 2018) suggest such outcomes are possible but rare.
The historical rarity of 3-3 draws in major tournaments (only 1 in the last 20 World Cups) and England's defensive record (conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 World Cup matches) make this outcome highly improbable. Panama's defensive struggles further reduce the likelihood.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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