Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Raskin's involvement in the match (injury, tactical omission)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:45:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
4%
ORYN Consensus
4%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 1-7
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between New Zealand and Belgium, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Raskin records more than 1.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Nicolas Raskin records 1.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Nicolas Raskin in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Nicolas Raskin is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Nicolas Raskin's likelihood of recording 2+ assists in the New Zealand vs. Belgium FIFA World Cup match is low at 3.95%, reflecting his limited role in assist-heavy positions and Belgium's tactical setup.
Raskin could exceed expectations if Belgium employs an aggressive wing-heavy formation, creating high-crossing opportunities, or if he is deployed as an attacking midfielder with creative freedom. A dominant Belgian performance with sustained pressure may increase his assist chances.
Raskin is unlikely to record 2+ assists given Belgium's balanced midfield structure, where other players (e.g., De Ketelaere, Doku) typically handle assist duties. His role may be limited to defensive midfield or bench, reducing assist opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.