In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ousmane Dembélé records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ousmane Dembélé records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Ousmane Dembélé in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ousmane Dembélé is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Last-minute exclusion from the squad
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:30:46 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ousmane Dembélé records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ousmane Dembélé records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Ousmane Dembélé in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ousmane Dembélé is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.3
Opportunity
0.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors 'Yes' for Ousmane Dembélé recording 2+ shots in the Norway vs. France World Cup match, with a 99.65% probability. This reflects near-certainty due to Dembélé's consistent performance and France's attacking style.
Dembélé is a key attacking player for France, known for his dribbling and creativity, which typically generates multiple shot attempts. France's high-possession style against Norway increases his opportunities to take shots. Historical data shows Dembélé averages 2+ shots per match in international competitions.
Dembélé could be excluded from the lineup or play a limited role, reducing his shot opportunities. Norway's defensive structure may stifle France's attacks, limiting Dembélé's involvement. Fatigue or injury could further decrease his effectiveness in the match.
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Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 100% while ORYN AI estimates 99.7%.
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