In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 29 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Morocco" if Morocco win the game by 6 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Netherlands". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation (resolution rules apply)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:31:50 AM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 29 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Morocco" if Morocco win the game by 6 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Netherlands". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market predicts a 50% chance that Morocco will win the FIFA World Cup match against the Netherlands by a margin of 6 or more goals on June 29 at 9:00 PM ET. The outcome hinges on a significant goal differential, making the resolution highly dependent on the match dynamics.
Morocco could achieve a 6+ goal victory if they dominate possession, capitalize on early scoring opportunities, and exploit defensive vulnerabilities in the Netherlands. A high-scoring game with Morocco leading by a large margin would validate the bull case.
The bear case assumes the Netherlands will either prevent Morocco from scoring or limit their goals, resulting in a margin of 5 or fewer goals. A defensive strategy, strong goalkeeper performance, or counterattacking efficiency by the Netherlands could lead to this outcome.
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Spread: Morocco (-5.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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