Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen events
AI updated 7/2/2026, 1:30:36 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-0.3
Opportunity
0.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -25.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
19 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and England combine to score 7 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Mexico vs. England O/U 6.5 goals has a low probability (1.15%) of resolving to 'Over', indicating strong consensus on a low-scoring game. Historical trends and team defensive records support this outlook.
Mexico and England could combine for 7+ goals if both teams play aggressively, with England's attacking midfielders exploiting Mexico's defensive vulnerabilities. A high-tempo game with multiple set-piece conversions (e.g., corners or free kicks) could push the total over the threshold.
Both teams are defensively solid, with England conceding only 0.5 goals per game in recent tournaments and Mexico allowing 0.8. Tactical disciplined play and low individual errors may keep the total under 7 goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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