Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key Mexican attackers
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:45:16 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
18%
ORYN Consensus
18%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,167,168
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 14-20
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ecuador". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 17.50% chance that Mexico will defeat Ecuador by 2 or more goals in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match on June 30. The resolution depends strictly on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Mexico's attacking prowess and historical dominance over Ecuador (e.g., recent wins by 2+ goals) could justify the 17.50% probability. Strong team form, home-field advantage (neutral venue), or key player performances (e.g., Chucky Lozano, Hirving Lozano) may support a high-scoring victory.
Ecuador's defensive resilience, counterattacking style, or Mexico's potential defensive vulnerabilities could lead to a 1-goal win or draw, resolving the market to Ecuador. Recent Ecuadorian performances (e.g., upsets against stronger teams) may reduce Mexico's margin of victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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