Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:47:39 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Santiago Giménez records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Santiago Giménez records 3.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Santiago Giménez in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Santiago Giménez is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Santiago Giménez recording 4+ shots in Mexico vs. Ecuador (June 30) is balanced at 50%, reflecting equal likelihood of outcomes. The market hinges on Giménez's role in the match, his shooting tendencies, and team dynamics.
Giménez is Mexico's starting striker and averages 3.8 shots per game in recent tournaments. Ecuador's defense has conceded 2.1 shots per game to opposition strikers this year, increasing the probability of Giménez exceeding 3.5 shots. High-pressure matches often see increased shot attempts.
Giménez has played only 180 minutes in Mexico's last 5 games, reducing his shot opportunities. Ecuador's defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) suggests tight marking, limiting Giménez's chances. Tactical setups by both teams may prioritize defensive stability over attacking flanks.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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