Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Late tactical changes by either team
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:48:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,138,304
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Raúl Jiménez records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Raúl Jiménez records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Raúl Jiménez in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Raúl Jiménez is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Raúl Jiménez recording 1+ shots in the Mexico vs. Ecuador World Cup match is evenly split, indicating high uncertainty about his performance. Historical data and form suggest a moderate probability of Jiménez taking shots, but defensive tactics and match dynamics could significantly influence the outcome.
Jiménez has a strong record of contributing shots in international matches, averaging 1.8 shots per game in recent World Cup qualifiers. Ecuador’s defensive frailties, particularly in wide areas, may allow Jiménez to exploit space and record multiple shots on goal.
Ecuador’s defensive structure, led by central defenders like Piero Hincapié, could limit Jiménez’s opportunities. Mexico’s tactical approach may prioritize possession over direct attacking, reducing Jiménez’s shot count. Injuries or tactical substitutions could also limit his involvement.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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