Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:50:08 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,140,394
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexis Vega records more than 0.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Alexis Vega records 0.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Alexis Vega in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Alexis Vega is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Alexis Vega recording 1+ shots on target in Mexico vs. Ecuador at the FIFA World Cup is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty. The outcome hinges on Vega's individual performance and team dynamics in the match.
Vega may exceed 0.5 shots on target if Mexico's attacking strategy prioritizes his involvement, particularly if he starts as a winger or forward. His recent form in World Cup qualifiers (e.g., 2+ shots on target in 3 of last 5 games) supports a bullish outlook. High-pressure situations could force Mexico to rely on his creativity.
Vega could underperform if Ecuador's defense tightly marks him or if Mexico's tactics exclude him from key attacking phases. Fatigue or tactical substitutions may limit his playing time, reducing shot opportunities. Ecuador's defensive record (e.g., conceding <1 shot on target per game in 2022 WC qualifiers) also poses a risk.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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