Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:47:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,489,939
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Guillermo Martínez records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Guillermo Martínez records 3.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Guillermo Martínez in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Guillermo Martínez is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Guillermo Martínez recording 4+ shots in the Mexico vs. Ecuador FIFA World Cup game has an even probability (50%) due to limited public data on Martínez's shot tendencies and Ecuador's defensive record against high-volume shooters.
Martínez has a history of high shot volume in recent matches, averaging 4+ shots per game in 3 of his last 5 appearances. Ecuador's defense has conceded an average of 3.5+ shots per game in their last 4 matches, increasing the likelihood of Martínez capitalizing on opportunities.
Martínez has not started in 2 of his last 3 games and may be benched due to tactical decisions. Ecuador's defensive record shows they allow fewer than 3 shots per game in 60% of their matches this season, reducing Martínez's shot opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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