Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:47:09 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,140,029
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexis Vega records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Alexis Vega records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Alexis Vega in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Alexis Vega is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Alexis Vega recording 1+ shots in the Mexico vs. Ecuador FIFA World Cup match (June 30) is balanced at 50% probability, reflecting equal likelihood of either outcome. The resolution hinges on Vega's in-game participation and shot statistics, with no clear bias toward success or failure.
Vega could exceed 0.5 shots if deployed as a starter or key substitute, leveraging Mexico's attacking style against Ecuador's defense. His recent form in high-pressure matches suggests potential for at least one shot on target. A tactical setup favoring wing play could increase his chances.
Vega may be excluded from the lineup or play limited minutes, reducing shot opportunities. Ecuador's defensive discipline could suppress Mexico's attacking output, minimizing Vega's involvement. Injuries or tactical adjustments during the match could further limit his impact.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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