Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to Ecuador's key forwards
AI updated 6/30/2026, 1:31:04 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
39%
ORYN Consensus
39%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,746,792
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 36-42
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ecuador score 1 or more goals in the second half (second 45 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If Ecuador score less than 1 goals in the second half, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Ecuador's second-half score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second 45 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ecuador scoring over 0.5 goals in the second half of their FIFA World Cup match against Mexico shows a 38.50% probability, indicating a moderate expectation of Ecuador's offensive performance in that segment. The outcome hinges solely on Ecuador's second-half goals, excluding other match phases.
Ecuador's historical attacking form and recent World Cup performances suggest they have a 38.50% chance of scoring at least one goal in the second half. If key players like Enner Valencia or Moisés Caicedo are fit and motivated, their offensive pressure could tilt the odds in favor of the 'Over' outcome.
Mexico's defensive solidity, particularly in the second half of matches, may suppress Ecuador's scoring opportunities. If Ecuador's attack struggles under pressure or Mexico's midfield dominates possession, the probability of Ecuador scoring in the second half could fall below expectations.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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