Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution removing Rodríguez from play
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:51:42 PM
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,140,029
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Rodríguez records more than 2.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Kevin Rodríguez records 2.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Kevin Rodríguez in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Kevin Rodríguez in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Kevin Rodríguez is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market assesses a 50% probability that Kevin Rodríguez will record 3+ combined goals and assists in Mexico vs. Ecuador at the FIFA World Cup. The outcome hinges on his direct involvement in scoring/assisting within the first 90 minutes, excluding extra time or penalties.
Rodríguez is Ecuador's key attacking threat with a 30%+ chance of goals/assists per game. Mexico's defensive vulnerabilities (avg. 1.8 goals conceded per game in 2024) increase the likelihood of him contributing significantly. His form (0.5 goals+assists per 90 in 2024) supports a bullish outcome.
Rodríguez may be marked tightly by Mexico's center-backs (avg. 1.2 tackles per game) or lack service from midfield. Ecuador's tactical setup could prioritize possession over direct attacks, reducing his involvement. Injuries or tactical substitutions could limit his playing time.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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