Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or suspension for Arévalo
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:51:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,140,364
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeremy Arévalo records more than 1.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Jeremy Arévalo records 1.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Jeremy Arévalo in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Jeremy Arévalo in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Jeremy Arévalo is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Jeremy Arévalo's combined goals and assists in the Mexico vs. Ecuador FIFA World Cup match (June 30, 9:00 PM ET) is balanced at 50%, reflecting a high degree of uncertainty. The outcome hinges on Arévalo's role in a high-scoring potential game, with no clear favorite in the matchup.
Arévalo could exceed 1.5 combined goals/assists if he is a key playmaker in a high-scoring match, leveraging Mexico's attacking depth. Ecuador's defensive vulnerabilities and Mexico's home advantage (neutral venue) may create opportunities for Arévalo to contribute significantly.
Arévalo may underperform if Ecuador's defense shuts down Mexico's attacks or if he is not deployed as a primary playmaker. A low-scoring or defensive stalemate could limit his goal/assist opportunities to zero or one.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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