Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Valencia's playing time
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:47:46 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
55%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
3.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 500.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Enner Valencia records more than 0.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Enner Valencia records 0.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Enner Valencia in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Enner Valencia in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Enner Valencia is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market on Enner Valencia achieving 1+ combined goals and assists in Mexico vs. Ecuador (June 30) is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting equal probability of resolution. Valencia's form and match context offset by defensive strengths of both teams and his potential role.
Valencia is Ecuador's leading striker with 10+ goals in 2024 and strong tournament form. Mexico's defense has conceded goals in recent matches, and Valencia's creativity could exploit gaps. High-scoring matches favor his goal/assist potential.
Mexico's midfield and defense have shown resilience, limiting top strikers in recent games. Valencia may be marked tightly or deployed in a deeper role, reducing goal-scoring opportunities. Low-scoring matches or tactical play could suppress his stats.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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