Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or suspension to key players before/during the match
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:49:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,075,184
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico score 2 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If Mexico score less than 2 goals in the first half, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Mexico's first-half score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Mexico scoring 1.5+ goals in the first half of their FIFA World Cup match against Ecuador is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited historical head-to-head data and unpredictable match dynamics.
Mexico's attacking prowess, including key forwards like Henry Martín and Santiago Giménez, could overwhelm Ecuador's defense, especially if they start aggressively. Ecuador's recent defensive vulnerabilities in their opening match (loss to Germany) may further favor an over outcome.
Ecuador's disciplined defensive structure, led by players like Piero Hincapié, could stifle Mexico's attack, resulting in fewer goals. Mexico's inconsistent form in recent matches (e.g., 0-0 draw vs. Brazil in June 2024) suggests a lower-scoring first half.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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