Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:49:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,075,036
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ecuador score 2 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If Ecuador score less than 2 goals in the first half, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Ecuador's first-half score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ecuador scoring 1.5 or more goals in the first half of their FIFA World Cup match against Mexico is evenly split, with a 50% probability. The outcome hinges solely on Ecuador's offensive performance in the initial 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
Ecuador's strong attacking lineup and recent form in high-pressure matches could lead to multiple first-half goals, especially if Mexico's defense struggles with quick transitions. Historical data shows Ecuador has scored 2+ goals in 30% of their recent World Cup matches, supporting a bullish outlook.
Mexico's defensive record in the World Cup (conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 matches) and Ecuador's inconsistent scoring in the first half (averaging 0.8 goals in their last 10 World Cup halves) reduce the likelihood of Ecuador reaching 2 goals. Tactical discipline by Mexico could suppress Ecuador's opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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