Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable player performances or red cards
AI updated 6/29/2026, 9:30:44 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
6%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,489,149
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mexico vs. Ecuador match originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?' indicates a low probability (5.50%) of this specific outcome occurring in the FIFA World Cup match on June 30, 2026. The market is highly speculative given the long-term horizon and uncertainty in team performance.
Mexico could outperform expectations with a strong defensive setup and a single goal from a set-piece, while Ecuador capitalizes on a counterattack to score twice, resulting in a 1-2 final score. Historical data shows Ecuador's ability to grind out tight victories in high-pressure games, and Mexico's recent form under their current coach may favor defensive solidity.
Both teams may underperform, leading to a draw or a low-scoring goalless draw, with neither side managing to score twice. Mexico's inconsistent attack and Ecuador's recent struggles in away games could result in a lackluster match with limited goals. External factors like weather conditions or referee decisions may also suppress goal-scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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