Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation altering resolution terms
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:45:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
32 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Jordan score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Jordan score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Jordan's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Jordan scoring over 2.5 goals against Argentina in their FIFA World Cup match is highly unlikely, with a current probability of 1.35%. The outcome hinges solely on Jordan's offensive performance, making it a low-probability event given Argentina's defensive strength and historical goal-scoring trends.
Jordan's bull case relies on an unexpected offensive surge, such as exploiting defensive vulnerabilities in Argentina's lineup, leveraging set-piece opportunities, or capitalizing on early momentum to score 3+ goals. A tactical shift or individual brilliance (e.g., a star player performance) could also justify this outcome.
The bear case is strong due to Argentina's historically solid defense, led by experienced players like Emiliano Martínez and a defensive midfield. Jordan's lack of recent high-scoring performances against top-tier opponents further reduces the likelihood of scoring 3+ goals in a competitive World Cup match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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