Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation due to external factors
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:30:23 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
8 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Argentina score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Argentina score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Argentina's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Argentina scoring 3+ goals against Jordan in their FIFA World Cup match has a near-even split, with 49.5% probability assigned to the 'Over' outcome. The game's context and historical performance suggest a high-scoring scenario is plausible but not guaranteed.
Argentina's offensive firepower, led by players like Lionel Messi, greatly increases the likelihood of scoring 3+ goals against Jordan. Their recent World Cup performances and historical dominance over lower-ranked teams support a bullish outlook for this market.
Jordan's defensive resilience and Argentina's potential tactical adjustments to avoid early fatigue could limit goals. Historical underperformance against similarly ranked opponents and potential fatigue from a tight group stage may reduce the probability of 3+ goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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