Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or suspension to key players before/during the match
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:00:56 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
5%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -45.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
24 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jordan" if Jordan score more goals than Argentina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Jordan and Argentina score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina score more goals than Jordan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests a low probability (6.95%) that Jordan will outscore Argentina in the second half of their 2026 FIFA World Cup match. Given Argentina's historical dominance and current FIFA rankings, the outcome is heavily skewed toward Argentina or a draw.
Jordan's bull case hinges on tactical adjustments, defensive resilience, and exploiting Argentina's potential fatigue or complacency. A strong second-half performance could leverage set-pieces or counterattacks to secure a narrow lead, especially if Argentina's star players underperform.
Argentina's bear case is reinforced by their superior squad depth, attacking firepower, and recent tournament success. A high-scoring second half or late goals could overwhelm Jordan's defense, making a Jordan win statistically unlikely unless Argentina shows uncharacteristic defensive lapses.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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