Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Paz being benched or substituted early
Calibrated 100% · raw 1200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:00:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
18%
ORYN Consensus
6%
Signal Score
-12.0
Opportunity
9.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,408
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1200.0¢
Entry: 14-20
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Paz records 2+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market on Nicolás Paz scoring 2+ goals in the Jordan vs. Argentina World Cup match has a low probability of 5.50%, indicating skepticism about his goal-scoring potential in this fixture. The outcome hinges on his role in the match and Argentina's offensive dynamics.
Nicolás Paz could deliver 2+ goals if he is deployed as a primary striker or in a high-attacking role, leveraging Argentina's offensive firepower against Jordan's defense. A dominant Argentine performance with multiple chances created for Paz would support the bull case.
Paz is unlikely to score 2+ goals given his typical midfield positioning and Argentina's depth in attacking positions. Jordan's defensive structure and Argentina's tendency to rotate players could limit his goal-scoring opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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