Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement/cancellation altering resolution criteria
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:30:23 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
15 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jordan vs. Argentina match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for an exact 3-3 draw between Jordan and Argentina in their June 27, 2026 FIFA World Cup match is highly improbable (0.50% probability), reflecting extreme skepticism about such a specific outcome given the teams' historical and current standings.
A 3-3 draw could occur if both teams prioritize attacking play, with Argentina's offensive firepower (e.g., Messi-era style) overwhelming Jordan's defense, while Jordan capitalizes on set-pieces or counterattacks to score three goals. Unlikely upsets in form or tactical mismatches (e.g., Argentina resting stars) might also contribute.
The probability is near-zero due to Argentina's elite status (top FIFA-ranked teams rarely concede 3 goals) and Jordan's defensive vulnerabilities (historically weak against top-tier opponents). Even high-scoring matches (e.g., 4-2) are improbable, making 3-3 implausible without extraordinary circumstances (e.g., red cards, extreme weather).
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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