In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jordan vs. Argentina match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Unpredictability of football outcomes despite statistical favorites
Calibrated 100% · raw 1980% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:45:19 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jordan vs. Argentina match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
20%
Signal Score
+19.8
Opportunity
18.8
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Jordan 3 - 1 Argentina in the 2026 FIFA World Cup match shows an extremely low probability (0.20%) of this exact score occurring. This reflects the high improbability of a non-favorite team like Jordan defeating a powerhouse like Argentina by a 2-goal margin.
Jordan could pull off a historic upset if their defensive structure disrupts Argentina's attack, capitalizing on set-pieces or counterattacks to score 3 goals while keeping Argentina's attack contained. Argentina's potential fatigue from a congested schedule or injuries to key players could also contribute to this outcome.
Argentina, as a footballing giant with vastly superior squad depth and individual talent, is overwhelmingly favored to win, making a 3-1 scoreline highly unlikely. Jordan's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of elite attacking options further diminish the probability of this specific score.
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Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 1 Argentina? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 0.2% while ORYN AI estimates 20%.
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