Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictability of football outcomes despite statistical favorites
Calibrated 100% · raw 1980% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:45:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
20%
Signal Score
+19.8
Opportunity
18.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1980.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
5 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jordan vs. Argentina match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Jordan 3 - 1 Argentina in the 2026 FIFA World Cup match shows an extremely low probability (0.20%) of this exact score occurring. This reflects the high improbability of a non-favorite team like Jordan defeating a powerhouse like Argentina by a 2-goal margin.
Jordan could pull off a historic upset if their defensive structure disrupts Argentina's attack, capitalizing on set-pieces or counterattacks to score 3 goals while keeping Argentina's attack contained. Argentina's potential fatigue from a congested schedule or injuries to key players could also contribute to this outcome.
Argentina, as a footballing giant with vastly superior squad depth and individual talent, is overwhelmingly favored to win, making a 3-1 scoreline highly unlikely. Jordan's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of elite attacking options further diminish the probability of this specific score.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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