In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Croatia and Ghana, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Pašalić records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Marco Pašalić records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Marco Pašalić in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Marco Pašalić is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: injury or tactical substitution
AI updated 6/26/2026, 7:30:53 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Croatia and Ghana, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Pašalić records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Marco Pašalić records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Marco Pašalić in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Marco Pašalić is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Marco Pašalić recording 1+ shots in Croatia vs. Ghana at the FIFA World Cup (June 27) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty. Croatia's attacking depth and Ghana's defensive vulnerabilities slightly favor the bull case, but Pašalić's limited playing time reduces confidence.
Pašalić could capitalize on Croatia's offensive pressure against Ghana's defense, which has conceded shots in recent matches. His role as a winger may lead to 1+ shots if he starts or enters late, especially if Croatia dominates possession. Historical data shows Pašalić has recorded shots in high-pressure games.
Pašalić's playing time may be limited due to tactical choices or substitutions, reducing his shot opportunities. Ghana's defensive structure could stifle Croatia's attacks, minimizing Pašalić's involvement in shooting plays. If he is not in the starting XI or subbed off early, his shot count may fall below 0.5.
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Marco Pašalić: 1+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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