Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: injuries
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:01:03 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
18%
ORYN Consensus
13%
Signal Score
-5.0
Opportunity
3.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -500.0¢
Entry: 14-20
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
3 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Croatia and Ghana, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Croatia and Ghana combine to score 3 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Croatia vs. Ghana second-half O/U 2.5 goals shows a low probability (12.5%) of the combined score exceeding 2.5 in the second half. This suggests low expected offensive output in the latter stages of the match.
Croatia and Ghana may combine for 3+ goals in the second half due to fatigue-induced defensive lapses, tactical adjustments favoring attacking play, or Ghana's historical tendency to score late in matches.
Both teams may prioritize defensive stability in the second half, reducing goal-scoring opportunities, especially given Croatia's disciplined style and Ghana's inconsistent finishing in high-pressure scenarios.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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