Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key Croatian players before kickoff
AI updated 6/27/2026, 3:00:35 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
41%
ORYN Consensus
41%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 38-44
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Croatia and Ghana, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia score more goals than Ghana in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Croatia and Ghana score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ghana" if Ghana score more goals than Croatia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests a near-even chance (40.5%) that Croatia will outscore Ghana in the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 27, 2026. The outcome hinges on second-half performance, excluding first-half goals, extra time, or penalties.
Croatia's historical resilience and tactical adaptability in second-half comebacks (e.g., 2018 World Cup runners-up) support the bull case. Their midfield control and defensive solidity could favor a higher goal tally in the latter stages.
Ghana's youthful squad and attacking prowess (e.g., 2022 World Cup debut) pose a threat to Croatia's defense. Fatigue from the first half or tactical mismatches could lead to Ghana outscoring Croatia in the second half.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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